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Forums » Vispārējās diskusijas » Tērzētava

Tēma: Notikumi krievijā un Baltkrievijā

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Lafter
17. Mar 2024, 00:34 #17061

Kopš: 23. Sep 2007

Ziņojumi: 27887

Braucu ar: wv

Once dependent on Europe for trade, Russia has been forging new routes that will allow it to skirt Western restrictions. A planned railway through Iran could be key for those ambitions.

The New York Times
The New York Times
By Ivan NechepurenkoPhotographs by Sergey Ponomarev
Ivan Nechepurenko traveled across Armenia and Azerbaijan, interviewing people running ports, railways and trading companies, as well as government officials and experts for this article.

March 13, 2024
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For centuries, trade with Europe was the main pillar of Russia’s economy.

The war in Ukraine ended that, with Western sanctions and other restrictions increasingly cutting Russia off from European markets. In response, Moscow has expanded ties with the countries more willing to do business with it — China to the east, and, via a southern route, India and the countries of the Persian Gulf.

Listen to this article with reporter commentary
14:42
Open this article in the New York Times Audio app on iOS.
That southern route has now become a focus of Russian policymakers as they try to build infrastructure for their plans to pivot away from the West for good. The effort faces challenges, including questions over financing, doubts over the reliability of Russia’s new partners, and threats of Western sanctions targeting countries that trade with Russia.

A key part of the southern plan is a 100-mile $1.7 billion railway set to begin construction this year that would be the final link in a route between Russia and Iranian ports on the Persian Gulf — providing easy access to destinations like Mumbai, India’s trading capital. Russia has agreed to loan Iran $1.4 billion to finance the project.

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“As Russia’s traditional trade routes were largely blocked, it had to look at other options,” said Rauf Agamirzayev, a transport and logistics expert based in Baku, Azerbaijan, referring to the southern route.

Russia has found numerous ways to skirt the Western trade restrictions, bringing in things like machinery from India and arms from Iran, as well as a host of consumer goods — often through Gulf countries and Turkey — that the government sees as crucial for showing Russians that it can maintain living standards during a time of war.

Image
A man in a helmet watches from a platform as a ship is unloaded.
Unloading cargo at the port in Baku. The Azerbaijani authorities expect a surge of freight through the facility in coming years.
Image
An aerial view of cars parked at a customs terminal.
A customs terminal near Gyumri, Armenia, filled with cars.
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While some consumer goods still trickle in legally from Europe, a whole range of restricted or difficult-to-get items are also widely available in Russia. Oysters from France, brought in by plane with a detour in some third location, are available at one Moscow restaurant, and Italian truffles and French champagne, whose export was banned by the European Union, can be found at an upscale grocery store chain.

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The Russian government sees the railway project through Iran — and another line it hopes to restore that would provide access to Turkey — as essential for locking in and speeding the flow of all such imports into the country. It is also seen as critical for stepping up exports of the Russian natural resources that are critical for the economy.

Map locates train lines from Iran, Azerbaijan, and Armenia, north into Russia.

RUSSIA
St. Petersburg
Moscow
CHINA
Detail below
TURKEY
IRAN
INDIA
Persian Gulf
SAUDI
ARABIA
PAKISTAN
Mumbai
400 MILES
RUSSIA
Black
Sea
Caspian
Sea
GEORGIA
NAGORNO-KARABAKH
ARMENIA
AZERBAIJAN
Baku
Potential rail
trade routes
to Russia








TURKEY
Meghri
Aras R.
Astara
Other
railroads
IRAN
Rasht
By The New York Times
President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia has said that the new route will cut the time for cargo to travel to Mumbai from St. Petersburg to only 10 days, from 30 to 45 days now. Russian officials are calling it a “breakthrough revolutionary project” that will compete with the Suez Canal.

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It will also complement Russia’s trading routes toward China, currently its largest trading partner, as those reach overcapacity. Since 2021, just before the full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, Russia’s trade with China has soared about 63 percent, to more than $240 billion in 2023, according to Chinese figures.

Trade is also surging with India, reaching $65 billion, more than four times what it was in 2021. Russia’s trade with both countries in 2023 surpassed its prewar trade with the European Union, which stood at $282 billion in 2021.

The new railway will link two Iranian cities, Astara and Rasht, connecting tracks between Iran and Azerbaijan to the north, and then to the Russian railway grid. When finished — the new link is expected to be completed in 2028 — the resulting “North-South Transport Corridor” will stretch unbroken for more than 4,300 miles, out of reach of Western sanctions.

Image
Workers stand between cars on a railway track.
Workers on the Azerbaijani part of a railway that Russia hopes will eventually connect it with Iran and Turkey.
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Image
A man sitting in a locomotive.
A locomotive driver looking out over a stretch of railway in Azerbaijan.
From Iranian facilities on the Persian Gulf, Russian traders will have easy access to India, as well as to destinations like Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Pakistan and beyond.

A trading route through the Caucasus and Central Asia and across the Caspian Sea to Iran has already been a significant one for Russia in recent months, according to Lloyds List, which specializes in maritime news and intelligence. Russia has also been shipping oil and products like coking coal and fertilizer the opposite way.

Gagik Aghajanyan, the head of Apaven, the biggest freight-forwarding company in Armenia, said his fleet of trucks often picks up loads of consumer goods, delivered by rail from ports in Georgia on the Black Sea, and then transfers them north across the land border to Russia. Other goods that are more sensitive, like those that are prohibited by Western states, can be shipped via Iran, which shares a border with Armenia, he said. From Iranian ports, goods can then travel to Russia over the Caspian.

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“The Georgians say, ‘These are sanctioned goods; we will not let you through to Russia,’” Mr. Aghajanyan said in an interview. “And the Iranians say, ‘We don’t care.’”

In 2023, trade volumes across the route increased by 38 percent over 2021, according to Andrei R. Belousov, Russia’s deputy prime minister for the economy, and could triple by 2030.

Image
People carrying boxes next to a truck.
Unloading goods at a cargo terminal for Apaven, the biggest freight-forwarding company in Armenia, in Yerevan, the capital.
Image
Piles of cargo bags next to a truck.
Gagik Aghajanyan, the head of Apaven, said his fleet of trucks often picks up loads of consumer goods and then transfers them north across the land border to Russia.
In addition to the line through Iran, Russia also wants to restore an old Soviet railway that connected Moscow with Iran and Turkey via Armenia and the Azerbaijani enclave of Nakhichevan. The railway was abandoned in the early 1990s when war broke out between Armenia and Azerbaijan.

Russia hopes to have the railway up and running within a few years, but the project has been entangled in the complicated geopolitics of the region.

Azerbaijan is eager to compete the link, but Armenia has been reluctant to commit to the project over concerns over who would control the tracks through its territory. In Soviet times, they belonged to the Azerbaijani railway. In 2020, Armenia signed an agreement that ceded control of it to the Russian security service.

But Russia, which was once closely allied with Armenia, has become increasingly friendly with Azerbaijan, essentially standing by as Azerbaijan took over full control of the breakaway region of Nagorno-Karabakh, which had been under the control of Armenian separatists for more than three decades. Now, the Armenians want to control its part of the railway link itself, centered on the town of Meghri, strategically placed on the border with Iran.

For now, the train station in Meghri remains a relic of the Soviet past, its rooms filled with old railway maps and tickets hidden under withered leaves and dust. Its tracks, built more than a century ago by czarist Russia, were long ago replaced by vegetable gardens.

Image
A tunnel in a rocky outcrop.
An abandoned tunnel that was part of the Yerevan-to-Baku railway in Meghri, Armenia. It was originally built at the beginning of World War II.
Image
An abandoned railway station seen from a terrace.
The railway was abandoned in the early 1990s when war broke out between Armenia and Azerbaijan.
The Azerbaijani railway company is close to finishing its stretch of tracks toward Armenia through territories it had occupied ahead of the 2020 war. From there, it can go either via Armenia or via Iran, if Armenia decides to stay away from the route.

“Russia can get a railway route to the Persian Gulf and Turkey,” said Nikita Smagin, an expert on Russian policy in the Middle East with the Russian International Affairs Council think tank. “It can do it pretty quickly, in up to two years.”

Rovshan Rustamov, the head of the Azerbaijani railways company, said that Azerbaijan’s part of the project should be completed by the end of 2024. Logistics, he said, may even replace oil as the biggest driver of Azerbaijan’s economy.

Azerbaijan is also hoping the port of Baku can profit from the country’s new position as a strategic hub for goods traveling between Russia and the outside world — as well as between Asia and Europe, conveniently bypassing Russia.

After the Russian invasion of Ukraine began, the authorities in Baku expedited plans to develop a second phase of the port to cope with an expected surge in cargo traffic.

“The feasibility study that we had before showed that we did not have to rush the expansion,” said Taleh Ziyadov, the director general of the Port of Baku. “After the war, we did a new study that showed that we had to put that date earlier, maybe to 2024.”

While Russian officials have lauded the new trade routes, some business leaders are not so sure.

“This looks like a forced decision that hasn’t been formed because of objective reasons,” said Ivan Fedyakov, who runs InfoLine, a Russian market consultancy that advises companies on how to survive under the current restrictions.

“What is being created in essence is a trade route for the pariahs,” said Ram Ben Tzion, whose company Publican analyzes evasion of trade restrictions.


A correction was made on March 13, 2024: An earlier version of this article misstated the proportion by which Russian trade with China increased, according to Chinese figures, from 2021 to 2023. It is about 63 percent, not 61 percent.

Laikam būs vietā teiciens. Suņi rej, karavāna mauc tālāk

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Aurius
17. Mar 2024, 01:03 #17062

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14 Mar 2024, 18:39:48 @RSAWorkshop rakstīja:
Šodien kā reiz ar vienu krievu sanāca kasīties, atkal brauca pēc pašu izdomātiem noteikumiem. Izrādās, ka ja ir bedres, tad CSN nav jāievēro. Bija tāds dikti agresīvs un dikti gribēja savas gļotu plaisas priekšā izrādīties, izskatījās akurāt iesaucamajā vecumā, jācer, ka nepilsonis un dosies uz vēlēšanām


.. tīri interesē pēc cik ilga laika civilizētajā eiropā oficiāli atļaus nepilsoņus, kuri kačā savas pravas svešā zemē - pilsoņiem tos fiziski krāmēt vagonos vilcienu sastāvos krievijas virzienā?

[ Šo ziņu laboja Aurius, 17 Mar 2024, 01:04:34 ]

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Samsasi
17. Mar 2024, 09:52 #17063

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Traks esi ko tādu pieļaut Krievijas guberņā?
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Fandulis
17. Mar 2024, 15:41 #17064

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Nav kādu patiesu ziņu no apstiprinātiem avotiem, kurš vinnēja vēlēšanās?
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HiJaCKeR
17. Mar 2024, 15:43 #17065

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Braucu ar: BMW E90 330i


17 Mar 2024, 15:41:15 @Fandulis rakstīja:
Nav kādu patiesu ziņu no apstiprinātiem avotiem, kurš vinnēja vēlēšanās?

cilvēks līdzīgs putinam
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CP17
17. Mar 2024, 15:44 #17066

Kopš: 17. Dec 2002

No: Zilupe

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Ko šitas tur mēļo?



РФ готовится к захвату Балтии | Войска выгружают у границы Литвы | Путин подтвердил ультиматум 21 г.

Spied "Play", lai skatītos video!

[ Šo ziņu laboja CP17, 17 Mar 2024, 15:45:12 ]



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RolandsK
17. Mar 2024, 16:29 #17067

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Nameiz, kā saka, neticu, ka mēs paliksim vieni kaujas laukā. Ja bēg, tad jābēg jau tagad.

p.s. Mana teorija, ka vismzaz Nato lielās Eiropas valstis gribēs parādīt, ka kaujas spējas nav tukša muldēšana un sados mizā urlapāniem. Poļi jau nu visdrīzāk nemīzīs, lai palīdzētu.

[ Šo ziņu laboja RolandsK, 17 Mar 2024, 16:33:47 ]

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foobar
17. Mar 2024, 16:39 #17068

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Nav tikai skaidrs kāpēc tā mistiskā divīzija nepiedalās kaujās Ukrainā, bet NATO ūsainais prusaks, notekti, viņu pierunās uzbrukt

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Lafter
17. Mar 2024, 17:15 #17069

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Vate iemaukusi pa Tiraspoli. (Moldova)
NYT bija interesants raksts (kā solīju, vairs nelikšu. Savādi sūdzās par palagiem)- no avotiem kādiem infa, kad 2026 gadā ir plānota operācija Baltija/Suvalki. Tagad sākas sagatavošanās. No Vates puses. Dzīve rādīs putlers jau pierādījis, kad viņam pajāt. Un ari zaudèt pa lielam nav ko. Cik viņam gadi atlikuši? 10? 15? 5? Ko dzīvot? NATO, ta Nato. Bet kamēr Francija raźos 3000 lādiņu mēnesī pret vates 150k… nu nezinu. Karavīri un tehnika tas ir labi. Bet stobros jau arī kas jāliek. Lupata, filcs, akmens un lupata gluži stobrā nepalīdzēs. Dzīve rādīs. Spriedelèt un vicinàt kulakus varēs pèc tam. (Kas parasti notiek)

[ Šo ziņu laboja Lafter, 17 Mar 2024, 17:17:23 ]



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uldens1
17. Mar 2024, 17:18 #17070

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17 Mar 2024, 17:15:57 @Lafter rakstīja:
Vate iemaukusi pa Tiraspoli. (Moldova)
NYT bija interesants raksts (kā solīju, vairs nelikšu. Savādi sūdzās par palagiem)- no avotiem kādiem infa, kad 2026 gadā ir plānota operācija Baltija/Suvalki. Tagad sākas sagatavošanās. No Vates puses. Dzīve rādīs putlers jau pierādījis, kad viņam pajāt. Un ari zaudèt pa lielam nav ko. Cik viņam gadi atlikuši? 10? 15? 5? Ko dzīvot? NATO, ta Nato. Bet kamēr Francija raźos 3000 lādiņu mēnesī pret vates 150k… nu nezinu. Karavīri un tehnika tas ir labi. Bet stobros jau arī kas jāliek. Lupata, filcs, akmens un lupata gluži stobrā nepalīdzēs. Dzīve rādīs. Spriedelèt un vicinàt kulakus varēs pèc tam. (Kas parasti notiek)
Skatoties kā poļi gatavojas karam,sajūta ka viņi kaut ko zin
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Lafter
17. Mar 2024, 17:21 #17071

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17 Mar 2024, 17:18:28 @uldens1 rakstīja:

17 Mar 2024, 17:15:57 @Lafter rakstīja:
Vate iemaukusi pa Tiraspoli. (Moldova)
NYT bija interesants raksts (kā solīju, vairs nelikšu. Savādi sūdzās par palagiem)- no avotiem kādiem infa, kad 2026 gadā ir plānota operācija Baltija/Suvalki. Tagad sākas sagatavošanās. No Vates puses. Dzīve rādīs putlers jau pierādījis, kad viņam pajāt. Un ari zaudèt pa lielam nav ko. Cik viņam gadi atlikuši? 10? 15? 5? Ko dzīvot? NATO, ta Nato. Bet kamēr Francija raźos 3000 lādiņu mēnesī pret vates 150k… nu nezinu. Karavīri un tehnika tas ir labi. Bet stobros jau arī kas jāliek. Lupata, filcs, akmens un lupata gluži stobrā nepalīdzēs. Dzīve rādīs. Spriedelèt un vicinàt kulakus varēs pèc tam. (Kas parasti notiek)
Skatoties kā poļi gatavojas karam,sajūta ka viņi kaut ko zin

Połi vispàr nešaubās par to, ka būs karš ar vati. Jautājums tikai kad. Nevis vai būs. Cik ar poļiem esmu runājis- tur pat šaubu ne mazāko nav. Nevienam.

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Samsasi
17. Mar 2024, 17:33 #17072

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17 Mar 2024, 17:15:57 @Lafter rakstīja:
Vate iemaukusi pa Tiraspoli. (Moldova)
NYT bija interesants raksts (kā solīju, vairs nelikšu. Savādi sūdzās par palagiem)- no avotiem kādiem infa, kad 2026 gadā ir plānota operācija Baltija/Suvalki. Tagad sākas sagatavošanās. No Vates puses. Dzīve rādīs putlers jau pierādījis, kad viņam pajāt. Un ari zaudèt pa lielam nav ko. Cik viņam gadi atlikuši? 10? 15? 5? Ko dzīvot? NATO, ta Nato. Bet kamēr Francija raźos 3000 lādiņu mēnesī pret vates 150k… nu nezinu. Karavīri un tehnika tas ir labi. Bet stobros jau arī kas jāliek. Lupata, filcs, akmens un lupata gluži stobrā nepalīdzēs. Dzīve rādīs. Spriedelèt un vicinàt kulakus varēs pèc tam. (Kas parasti notiek)
nu uztaisi vienu topiku maksas rakstiem... Es nez, kuri pamuļķi sūdzas par tiem palīgiem. Tā ir informācija.
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cash_
17. Mar 2024, 17:35 #17073

Kopš: 16. Jan 2016

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17 Mar 2024, 17:15:57 @Lafter rakstīja:
Vate iemaukusi pa Tiraspoli. (Moldova)

Vate? Piedņestras fronti gatavo?
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Elviss
17. Mar 2024, 17:46 #17074

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17 Mar 2024, 17:33:05 @Samsasi rakstīja:

17 Mar 2024, 17:15:57 @Lafter rakstīja:
Vate iemaukusi pa Tiraspoli. (Moldova)
NYT bija interesants raksts (kā solīju, vairs nelikšu. Savādi sūdzās par palagiem)- no avotiem kādiem infa, kad 2026 gadā ir plānota operācija Baltija/Suvalki. Tagad sākas sagatavošanās. No Vates puses. Dzīve rādīs putlers jau pierādījis, kad viņam pajāt. Un ari zaudèt pa lielam nav ko. Cik viņam gadi atlikuši? 10? 15? 5? Ko dzīvot? NATO, ta Nato. Bet kamēr Francija raźos 3000 lādiņu mēnesī pret vates 150k… nu nezinu. Karavīri un tehnika tas ir labi. Bet stobros jau arī kas jāliek. Lupata, filcs, akmens un lupata gluži stobrā nepalīdzēs. Dzīve rādīs. Spriedelèt un vicinàt kulakus varēs pèc tam. (Kas parasti notiek)
nu uztaisi vienu topiku maksas rakstiem... Es nez, kuri pamuļķi sūdzas par tiem palīgiem. Tā ir informācija.

Nav tā, ka es viņus baigi lasu, laika trūkuma dēļ, bet nav problēma arī viņu pārtīt un atstāt uz vēlāku laiku

[ Šo ziņu laboja Elviss, 17 Mar 2024, 17:46:25 ]



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[URL=http://rttulkojumi.lv]
[/URL]
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CP17
17. Mar 2024, 18:23 #17075

Kopš: 17. Dec 2002

No: Zilupe

Ziņojumi: 17

Braucu ar: Sargenģeli


14 Mar 2024, 18:20:10 @Amakatanav rakstīja:

12 Mar 2024, 23:25:22 @CP17 rakstīja:
Jūs ziņas vispār neskatieties?
1) Ja izbrauks, tad atpakaļ netikšot
2) Ja kādu paņems te Lv pie urnas ar rus pasi, bet izrādīsies, ka ir arī datubāzē kā nepilsonis, tad kirdik utt utt

Cerams, ka @LV izbrauks balsot par putleru visi, lai miers no viņiem un gaiss te sapuvušajos rietumumos tīrāks.

Līdz 17.00 pie vēstniecības pārbaudīti 666, 20gab bija beidzies uzturēšanās atļaujas termiņš, 3 uzsākti procesi par imigrācijas likuma pārkāpumiem. Administratīvi aizturētas 4 personas.

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HiJaCKeR
17. Mar 2024, 18:29 #17076

Kopš: 04. Aug 2003

No: Rīga

Ziņojumi: 4624

Braucu ar: BMW E90 330i


17 Mar 2024, 18:23:54 @CP17 rakstīja:

14 Mar 2024, 18:20:10 @Amakatanav rakstīja:

12 Mar 2024, 23:25:22 @CP17 rakstīja:
Jūs ziņas vispār neskatieties?
1) Ja izbrauks, tad atpakaļ netikšot
2) Ja kādu paņems te Lv pie urnas ar rus pasi, bet izrādīsies, ka ir arī datubāzē kā nepilsonis, tad kirdik utt utt

Cerams, ka @LV izbrauks balsot par putleru visi, lai miers no viņiem un gaiss te sapuvušajos rietumumos tīrāks.

Līdz 17.00 pie vēstniecības pārbaudīti 666, 20gab bija beidzies uzturēšanās atļaujas termiņš, 3 uzsākti procesi par imigrācijas likuma pārkāpumiem. Administratīvi aizturētas 4 personas.

Policijas novērojumi liecina, ka vēlētāju aktivitāte bija ļoti zema, līdz šim sasniedzot tikai 1,59% no visiem balstiesīgajiem Krievijas Federācijas valstspiederīgajiem Latvijā.

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CP17
17. Mar 2024, 18:32 #17077

Kopš: 17. Dec 2002

No: Zilupe

Ziņojumi: 17

Braucu ar: Sargenģeli

Jap, kopā Lv esot ap 40k

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fxquadro
17. Mar 2024, 18:48 #17078

Kopš: 09. Dec 2018

Ziņojumi: 133

Braucu ar: Honda Accord X USA ver. / Tesla M3 LR Boost, USA ver.


17 Mar 2024, 17:18:28 @uldens1 rakstīja:

17 Mar 2024, 17:15:57 @Lafter rakstīja:
Vate iemaukusi pa Tiraspoli. (Moldova)
NYT bija interesants raksts (kā solīju, vairs nelikšu. Savādi sūdzās par palagiem)- no avotiem kādiem infa, kad 2026 gadā ir plānota operācija Baltija/Suvalki. Tagad sākas sagatavošanās. No Vates puses. Dzīve rādīs putlers jau pierādījis, kad viņam pajāt. Un ari zaudèt pa lielam nav ko. Cik viņam gadi atlikuši? 10? 15? 5? Ko dzīvot? NATO, ta Nato. Bet kamēr Francija raźos 3000 lādiņu mēnesī pret vates 150k… nu nezinu. Karavīri un tehnika tas ir labi. Bet stobros jau arī kas jāliek. Lupata, filcs, akmens un lupata gluži stobrā nepalīdzēs. Dzīve rādīs. Spriedelèt un vicinàt kulakus varēs pèc tam. (Kas parasti notiek)
Skatoties kā poļi gatavojas karam,sajūta ka viņi kaut ko zin

Ja vēlaties mieru, gatavojieties karam. Ja valstij ir daudz ieroču un gatava un apmācīta armija, ienaidnieks ļoti labi pārdomās, vai uzbrukt.
Vispār, paskatījos Vikipēdijā par Polijas bruņojumu, pēc pāris gadiem Polija tiešām kļūs par vienu no spēcīgākajām valstīm Eiropā bruņojuma ziņā. Tagad pilnā sparā rit jaunāko korejiešu K2 tanku un artilērijas piegāde, un Polija ir arī vienojusies ar Koreju, ka ražos šos tankus pēc licences Polijā. Tur būs arī jaunākā aviācija.
Un, ja par Somiju un Zviedriju, tad zviedri ražo ļoti modernus ieročus, sākot no lidmašīnām un beidzot ar tankiem. Somija varbūt šādus ieročus neražo, bet tai ir ļoti motivēti iedzīvotāji, kas dien (obligātais dienests), saskaņā ar datiem 80% vīriešu ir pabeiguši obligāto dienestu. faktiski uzbrukums Somijai nozīmē arī uzbrukumu Zviedrijai, kas uzreiz nosūtīs savu tehniku bez NATO samita.

[ Šo ziņu laboja fxquadro, 17 Mar 2024, 18:51:19 ]

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Lafter
17. Mar 2024, 19:03 #17079

Kopš: 23. Sep 2007

Ziņojumi: 27887

Braucu ar: wv

Es riskēšu apgalvot, ka jau tagad Poļi vāciešiem var samest pa jebeli neatejot no kases. Gan ieroči ir moderni, gan cilvēki, gan morāle līmenī. Jau tagad Polijai ir viena no spēcīgākajām armijām eiropā. Šaubos vai redzēsim Turku, Eritrejiešu, Somāļu bataljonus frontē

[ Šo ziņu laboja Lafter, 17 Mar 2024, 19:10:53 ]



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foobar
17. Mar 2024, 19:20 #17080

Kopš: 04. Jun 2002

Ziņojumi: 6032

Braucu ar: M57TU2D30

Paskatoties https://www.nato.int/nato_static_fl2014/assets/...-exp-2023-en.pdf reportu tāda sajūta nerodās...
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